Gone

-------------------------
The Wavecaster

The Euro model is distributed on a licensed basis, unlike the GFS, so published presentations of it are hard to find. Jeff Masters has an interesting, fresh discussion at the remnants of Weather Underground.

-------------------------
"Don't count the days, make the days count." -Ali
#rydyrstrong

Jeff Masters blog is somewhat encouraging.. he has a Florida impact at only 10 percent.

I suppose Im just squirrely after trying to forecast Irma last year.. the cone seemed to sway wildly every day. Seeing it this close to us has me thinking it could swing and hit us with about 48 hrs notice

Florence is squirrelly. Wieland did a long look at it at 6pm on Facebook. It does not look good for the Carolinas. Potential for massive storm surge. SC's governor is already in emergency mode.

Being a science geek, I found this interesting on the debate of GFS vs Euro....from another site (wxunderground) ... "While the GFS model predicts a more northeastly track than the European model, the European model likely has a better handle than the GFS on Florence's approach to the U.S. Coast, according to this highly technical but fascinating series of tweets by researcher Philippe Papin (U.S. Naval Research Laboratory). ... Basically, the GFS uses an older microphysics scheme that may be overdeveloping the northeast side of Florence, pulling the hurricane a bit more in that direction prior to landfall. The model that will soon replace the GFS, the GFS FV3, does a better job on this feature, and its track is closer to the European model track." ... Cool....New model tweaks for next year the GFS FV3.

Edited: 09/11/2018 at 09:04 AM by SurferMic

BOING: bahama bababoey

Mavericks!

WOOO HOOOOOOOO X 10!!!!

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS 24H 12/1800Z 30.4N 72.1W 135 KT 155 MPH

Edited: 09/11/2018 at 03:31 PM by Plan B

In a word, THURSDAY... Puff puff, pass

-------------------------

What a run back to dribble for the rest of the weeks

-------------------------
The Wavecaster

Edited: 09/17/2018 at 08:12 PM by Tiptime

Fabulous few days off an'- On. dig-it!!

-------------------------
ola ~

I've got that 7th day of a surf trip feeling.

-------------------------
Replace turf grass with native plants that don't need irrigation and synthetic fertilizers or chemicals that can go into our waterways and ocean

That was fun...for the most part. Florida still has a knack for making the larger sets unridable, I find that annoying.

-------------------------
I was right.

Never got near as big / good as I hoped, but I've surfed 11 days in a row (in various degrees).... just checked it, and it looks like the streak prob ends (still some surf up here, but not worth putting off work) EDIT: make that 12 days in a row.... uggghhh I think I need an ice bath

Edited: 09/18/2018 at 01:21 PM by Plan B

Who's ready for more Florence??
Florence the wave machine is come back, swells showing up Saturday and lasting for many more days

-------------------------
The Wavecaster

Edited: 09/19/2018 at 03:43 PM by Tiptime

Flo 2.0? I'm down. Last 2 Sundays were super fun!

so that's Florence remnants out there in the ATL?

-------------------------

https://www.instagram.com/dj_kaye_/