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Dora Hates You

AS OF WED 7/31 @ 10:30 PM:



Edited: 07/31/2019 at 07:32 PM by paddleout

And starting this Sunday all the way through Saturday the 10th...
..... offshores predicted by Windy

















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Puerto Rico 11 - 24 - 2013

Some models went poof on development. NHC still on board at 70%

Yes, both major models went "Poof" but I'm expecting some readjustment with those, especially considering last night the GFS went batshit crazy and had a strong Cat 3 sitting just off the coast of St. Augustine for 4 days...... that's a radical swing in 6 hours, considering NHC bumped it's odds up to 70% Paddleout look through "lower dynamics"... with surface pressures. It's a great website, but yes, there's alot to sort through, and I'm not nerd enough to understand alot of them (I have art degrees... I skimped out on most math/science classes

Edited: 08/01/2019 at 05:20 AM by Plan B

and a barometric refresher cheat sheet for some:

Everywhere from cluster of light rain showers to a Cat 3. Something tells me weather is getting harder to predict.

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I was right.

Well..... it'll prob be all-time. I just seriously F-ed up my wrist, hitting the bottom clowning around on the LB. wouldnt be surprised if it's broke

2. A broad low pressure system located about 1000 miles west-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Only gradual development of
this system is expected for the next day or so while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions could
become more supportive by Saturday and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the weekend, several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Unlikely development NHC is on board with the models. Good news is we have the rest of the upcoming peak season still to come.

DUDE!!!! no Bueno...

Yes, 96L has pretty much disappeared from the GFS run on tropicaltidbits... NHC 5-day still shows it as developing, so its a bit confusing right now.. we shall see

https://www.today.com/video/wa...ing-dozens-65064005793 ???

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

How do you say "Outside!" in Chinese?

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Dora Hates You

LOL, Tsunami at a wave pool? Might as well let some sharks go in as well. LOLiu

Well- no sign of anything on the GFS right now.. just poof- she's gone.

But NHC is still showing a 70% chance of it developing in 5 days so who knows whats right.

KARMA- how long have you been out there? Which island?

You need to post some PICS

Ya, the 8'oclock still gots 70%

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Dora Hates You

As per the 2AM:

Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
development by Tuesday and Wednesday as the system approaches the
Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



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Dora Hates You

Edited: 08/02/2019 at 04:05 AM by dingpatch

Turbil! I see the orthopedist on monday..... so in the meantime I'm not upset to say.... 96L is fizzling out. Down to 20% chance

Sat and Sun AM were super fun, thanks B!