Hang 10... or as they now say...hit the lip!

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Topic Title: Hurricane Prediction - totally wrong
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Created On: 07/30/2019 07:03 AM
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 07/31/2019 07:14 PM
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dingpatch

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 07/31/2019 07:30 PM
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paddleout

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AS OF WED 7/31 @ 10:30 PM:




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Florida Plant Nursery Heliconia Rainbow Eucalyptus
Exotica Tropicals
Plant Nursery
Brevard Florida


Edited: 07/31/2019 at 07:32 PM by paddleout
 08/01/2019 01:34 AM
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SunriseSurfer

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And starting this Sunday all the way through Saturday the 10th...
..... offshores predicted by Windy


















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Puerto Rico 11 - 24 - 2013
 08/01/2019 04:36 AM
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mp2115

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Some models went poof on development. NHC still on board at 70%
 08/01/2019 05:19 AM
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Plan B

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Yes, both major models went "Poof" but I'm expecting some readjustment with those, especially considering last night the GFS went batshit crazy and had a strong Cat 3 sitting just off the coast of St. Augustine for 4 days...... that's a radical swing in 6 hours, considering NHC bumped it's odds up to 70% Paddleout look through "lower dynamics"... with surface pressures. It's a great website, but yes, there's alot to sort through, and I'm not nerd enough to understand alot of them (I have art degrees... I skimped out on most math/science classes

Edited: 08/01/2019 at 05:20 AM by Plan B
 08/01/2019 05:22 AM
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Plan B

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and a barometric refresher cheat sheet for some:
 08/01/2019 05:36 AM
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Cole

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Everywhere from cluster of light rain showers to a Cat 3. Something tells me weather is getting harder to predict.
 08/01/2019 07:49 AM
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Plan B

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Well..... it'll prob be all-time. I just seriously F-ed up my wrist, hitting the bottom clowning around on the LB. wouldnt be surprised if it's broke
 08/01/2019 08:58 AM
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Central Floridave

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2. A broad low pressure system located about 1000 miles west-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Only gradual development of
this system is expected for the next day or so while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions could
become more supportive by Saturday and a tropical depression is
likely to form over the weekend, several hundred miles east of the
Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
 08/01/2019 10:52 AM
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mp2115

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Unlikely development NHC is on board with the models. Good news is we have the rest of the upcoming peak season still to come.
 08/01/2019 11:09 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

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Originally posted by: Plan B Well..... it'll prob be all-time. I just seriously F-ed up my wrist, hitting the bottom clowning around on the LB. wouldnt be surprised if it's broke
DUDE!!!! no Bueno...

-------------------------
 A tower room at Eden Rock, His golf at noon for free
 08/01/2019 11:26 AM
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paddleout

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Yes, 96L has pretty much disappeared from the GFS run on tropicaltidbits... NHC 5-day still shows it as developing, so its a bit confusing right now.. we shall see

-------------------------
Florida Plant Nursery Heliconia Rainbow Eucalyptus
Exotica Tropicals
Plant Nursery
Brevard Florida
 08/01/2019 12:18 PM
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tom

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https://www.today.com/video/wa...ing-dozens-65064005793 ???

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 08/01/2019 01:48 PM
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dingpatch

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How do you say "Outside!" in Chinese?
 08/01/2019 03:35 PM
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Central Floridave

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LOL, Tsunami at a wave pool? Might as well let some sharks go in as well. LOLiu
 08/01/2019 05:13 PM
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paddleout

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Well- no sign of anything on the GFS right now.. just poof- she's gone.

But NHC is still showing a 70% chance of it developing in 5 days so who knows whats right.

KARMA- how long have you been out there? Which island?

You need to post some PICS

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Florida Plant Nursery Heliconia Rainbow Eucalyptus
Exotica Tropicals
Plant Nursery
Brevard Florida
 08/01/2019 06:18 PM
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dingpatch

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Ya, the 8'oclock still gots 70%
 08/02/2019 04:04 AM
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dingpatch

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As per the 2AM:

Upper-level winds are forecast to become less conducive for
development by Tuesday and Wednesday as the system approaches the
Leeward Islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.



Edited: 08/02/2019 at 04:05 AM by dingpatch
 08/03/2019 10:47 AM
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Plan B

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Originally posted by: StirfryMcflurryDUDE!!!! no Bueno...
Turbil! I see the orthopedist on monday..... so in the meantime I'm not upset to say.... 96L is fizzling out. Down to 20% chance
 08/05/2019 06:45 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

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Originally posted by: Plan B
Originally posted by: StirfryMcflurryDUDE!!!! [IMG][/IMG] no Bueno...
Turbil! I see the orthopedist on monday..... so in the meantime I'm not upset to say.... 96L is fizzling out. Down to 20% chance [IMG]i/expressions/face-icon-small-happy.gif" border="0[/IMG]
Sat and Sun AM were super fun, thanks B!

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 A tower room at Eden Rock, His golf at noon for free
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