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Topic Title: "System" sitting on top of us, , , , ,?
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Created On: 10/08/2019 05:37 AM
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 10/08/2019 05:37 AM
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dingpatch

Posts: 13900
Joined Forum: 07/24/2003

Radar shows that showers are heading West off of the ocean up in Volusia, while they are heading East away from us in Brevard, , , ,

3. A trough of low pressure extending across the southern Florida
peninsula and into the southwestern Atlantic is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slight development of
this system is possible today when it moves off the southeast U.S.
coast and north of the Bahamas. The disturbance is forecast to
merge with a low off the east coast of the United States by
Wednesday, and no further development is anticipated after that
time. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce
locally heavy rainfall over portions of the the Florida peninsula
during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.
 10/08/2019 07:03 PM
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Cole

Posts: 41189
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

The thing was looping with a tail and the news never mentioned it. Well, I should say the local Fox AM affiliate didn't mention it.
 10/09/2019 06:50 AM
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Plan B

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Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

 10/09/2019 06:54 AM
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SurferMic

Posts: 927
Joined Forum: 06/30/2012

^^^ Nice capture of the "spin" ... this enhanced the swell mid morning and helped bring in the W/SW winds, was VERY FUN for a few hours..looks to combine with a bigger low and possible retrograde back for a day or two?...hope so..

Edited: 10/09/2019 at 06:55 AM by SurferMic
 10/09/2019 06:59 AM
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Plan B

Posts: 2289
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

That's what it looks like...... too bad it's been howling onshore up here . I'm supposed to go out of town tomm-mon so it'll prob be firing (actually to NY& Boston) either way, tried to surf last week and it didnt go so good (hurt so much for 2 days after, I thought I rebroke my wrist.... luckily x-rays look good). Hopefully just nerves and scar tissue...

Edited: 10/09/2019 at 07:00 AM by Plan B
 10/09/2019 10:37 AM
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Plan B

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Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Total OBX shadow in effect for the First Coast but......Southbound Suarez? NNE FETCH
 10/09/2019 11:27 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 1727
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

Originally posted by: Plan B . I'm supposed to go out of town tomm-mon so it'll prob be firing (actually to NY& Boston) ...
dang dude, again with the sacrifice? Your weekend warrior naybors thank you!!

-------------------------
 A tower room at Eden Rock, His golf at noon for free
 10/11/2019 02:01 PM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 47971
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

fyi, buoys show NE long period swell

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Melissa Advisory Number 2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL142019
500 PM AST Fri Oct 11 2019

...MELISSA CONTINUES TO CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...
...THOSE IMPACTS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...38.2N 69.5W
ABOUT 210 MI...335 KM S OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 150 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal tropical cyclone watches or warnings in effect.

For information on wind and coastal flooding hazards, see products
issued by your local National Weather Service office at
weather.gov.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Melissa
was located near latitude 38.2 North, longitude 69.5 West. Melissa
is moving toward the south-southeast near 3 mph (6 km/h). A turn
toward the east is forecast tonight followed by an increase in
forward speed on Saturday. This motion will continue through Monday.
On the forecast track, the center of Melissa will move away from the
east coast of the United States.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Gradual weakening is expected over the next couple of days, and
Melissa is forecast to lose its subtropical characteristics by
Saturday night.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 345 miles (555 km) from the
center, primarily over waters.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Wind gusts to 50 mph are likely to continue over portions of
Cape Cod, Martha's Vineyard, and Nantucket through the early
evening.

COASTAL FLOODING: Coastal flooding will continue through the
late evening along portions of the U.S. east coast from the
mid-Atlantic states to southeastern New England.

SURF: Swells generated by Melissa are affecting much of the U.S.
east coast, portions of the Bahamas, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada.
These swells will result in life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

 10/11/2019 02:36 PM
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KP

Posts: 3578
Joined Forum: 07/28/2006

Sweet Melissa



-------------------------
Time and tide wait for no one.....
 10/14/2019 01:19 PM
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Plan B

Posts: 2289
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

Originally posted by: StirfryMcflurry dang dude, again with the sacrifice? Your weekend warrior naybors thank you!!
Yeah.... all this missing surf is really starting to chaffe my insides..... but having floor seats to see the Black Keys at the Boston Garden eased the pain a bit
 10/15/2019 04:43 PM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 47971
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Well, in retrospect that was a long duration swell. Sore.
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