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Topic Title: Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?
Topic Summary:
Created On: 08/05/2025 11:09 AM
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - Central Floridave - 08/05/2025 11:09 AM  
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - Central Floridave - 08/05/2025 11:21 AM  
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - ncsurf - 08/05/2025 01:00 PM  
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - Central Floridave - 08/05/2025 01:25 PM  
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - Central Floridave - 08/05/2025 01:33 PM  
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - 3rdworldlover - 08/05/2025 03:01 PM  
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - tom - 08/05/2025 03:04 PM  
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - sfds - 08/06/2025 07:00 AM  
 Did surfline forecasters miss the Dexter swell?   - matt_t - 08/06/2025 10:20 AM  
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 08/05/2025 11:09 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52929
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

First off, no forecaster for anything is 100 percent accurate. Also, I don't subscribe to surfline. However, late last week I was telling some of my close friends that it looks like we will have NE swell on Monday from a possible storm off of Hatteras. The models were clearly showing a spin up with 30 knot NE winds off Hatteras. That's a no brainer we going to get a small NE swell from that.

I was trying to persuade my friends, one down in palm beach, to travel up. I don't like surfing alone and trying to help some friends get in the water. 3 other people I messaged were doubting thomas's also.

Their replies were that 'Surfline doesn't show anything'. I got sent a screen grab that they were calling Monday for 2 feet.

Then another case, Monday morning was not that crowded in the Satbe spots. I actually got a parking spot at lums which usually 100 percent full. I was like cool, maybe not too many people got the message. This morning (Tuesday) ALL THE PARKING LOTS were overflowing. A stark contrast. The coconut telegraph obviously was spread the news that the surf was up.

One friend on Facebook on a Monday morning post-surf report I did commented, "Surprise Swell". And, he lives in a beachside satbe condo.

I was like, hmmmm, How was it a surprise to some?

The common denominator is 3/4 of my friends have a surfline forecast pro subscription and were discounting what I was predicting. Not tooting my own horn here as I just wanted to surf with my friends but they didn't want to take the chance on bad surf due to surfline's possible missed forecast.

I don't and can't read the forecast section of surfline, but even this morning the daily report said 2 feet for Satellite. I just got out of the water and it was significant strong swell coming in. 3-4 feet and long lines and some good walls and very powerful. Obvious tropical storm swell.

Am I wrong? Did surfline miss the Dexter swell?


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