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Topic Title: Hurricane Prediction - totally wrong
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Created On: 07/30/2019 07:03 AM
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 07/30/2019 07:03 AM
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Quadro

Posts: 149
Joined Forum: 11/14/2017

Brevard gets hit August 10th. Get the Windy app and you'll see. Gas up, battery up, water bottle up. Basically empty the stores.

Edited: 08/02/2019 at 04:39 AM by Quadro
 07/30/2019 09:11 AM
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mp2115

Posts: 174
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Nothing more than three days out is reliable. But ya never know maybe we get some real ground swell from it.
 07/30/2019 09:12 AM
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SunriseSurfer

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From the Aug 8th Windy app ....
.... something is "predicted" to be out there.

But, afterall it is the time of the season.










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Puerto Rico 11 - 24 - 2013
 07/30/2019 10:30 AM
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Central Floridave

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Interesting...

'tis the season!
 07/30/2019 10:49 AM
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SurferMic

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WINDY.com....ECMWF showing "something" but change over to the GFS and it is not closed low....looked at www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ early this AM not showing closed low....Now with a new model run GFS is starting to pick up the feature but 10 days out??? VERY UNRELIABLE..Something to watch...

Edited: 08/01/2019 at 07:22 AM by SurferMic
 07/30/2019 02:15 PM
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Cole

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At ten days out the whole butterfly flapping it's wings thing comes into play.

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I was right.
 07/30/2019 07:05 PM
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Karma

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Erick and Flossie eyeing us up...hoping for more waves less wind.

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If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.
 07/30/2019 08:31 PM
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paddleout

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Karma- you must be in Hawaii (?)



NHC is only giving that disturbance near Africa a 40% chance at 5 days out:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5

Edited: 07/30/2019 at 08:32 PM by paddleout
 07/31/2019 06:02 AM
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Plan B

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Take with a boulder of salt: ..... but that's a damn good surf scenario... solid Cat 2 in the ideal location

Edited: 07/31/2019 at 06:16 AM by Plan B
 07/31/2019 06:02 AM
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dingpatch

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Dora Hates You
 07/31/2019 06:07 AM
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seaspray

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The model shows it making that favorable turn/curve

Weekend swell event too, right before kids go back to school, yikes!

Edited: 07/31/2019 at 06:07 AM by seaspray
 07/31/2019 06:17 AM
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Plan B

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Originally posted by: seasprayWeekend swell event too, right before kids go back to school, yikes!
yes, but if it gets big enough, that takes care of the crowds
 07/31/2019 06:38 AM
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mp2115

Posts: 174
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A weekend surf trip in da back yard doesn't get any better! Block party up and down AIA. I am guessing we haven't had a real ground swell since Turkey day weekend.
 07/31/2019 07:40 AM
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Cole

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I just saw a Frigate Bird over Cocoa Beach. There might be something to this.

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I was right.
 07/31/2019 08:21 AM
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crankit

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They are around Sebastian regularly!

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Romans 8;18-32 John 3;16-18
 07/31/2019 11:24 AM
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tom

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 07/31/2019 11:34 AM
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BLat

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LOLA models getting excited with a 9ft @ 14s from ESE (114*) for Saturday 8/10 on north florida forecast. #LFG
 07/31/2019 12:29 PM
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Karma

Posts: 8028
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Originally posted by: paddleout

Karma- you must be in Hawaii (?)







NHC is only giving that disturbance near Africa a 40% chance at 5 days out:



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=atlc&fdays=5


Paddleout - I forgot to tell you. I moved out here. Guess I brought the storms with me...though they have been having some close calls last couple of years. Call me some time. Still have the farm in PR too if you ever want to get down there.

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If you're not part of the solution, you're part of the precipitate.
 07/31/2019 01:25 PM
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Cole

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Originally posted by: crankit

They are around Sebastian regularly!


Not over land in Cocoa Beach. I only see them around storms.



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I was right.
 07/31/2019 05:04 PM
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paddleout

Posts: 11810
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Well that NHC 5-day graphic just went from 40% to over 60%.. looks likes she's comin..

PLANB- how/where on Levi's site are you getting that image you posted? I get lost on there..
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