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Topic Title: Incoming NE Swell
Topic Summary: Buried under the wind chop is a swell
Created On: 04/26/2022 06:08 PM
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 04/26/2022 06:08 PM
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Kimo63

Posts: 541
Joined Forum: 04/22/2012

Looks like the West Bermuda buoy has been rocking a nice 8 foot 11 sec swell since morning. If my calculations are right , it should be buried under Thursday afternoons wind chop . Why do we always have bad wind on these days ? It will be my Birthday , so I'm wishing for improving winds .
 04/27/2022 06:21 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52251
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Happy Birthday! Swell models do show long period arriving. Damn pesky onshore winds....

 04/27/2022 07:37 AM
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long_flaco1

Posts: 1451
Joined Forum: 09/25/2003

Windy.com says "8mph SE Winds" Starting Saturday morning for "The cleanup session"? Fingers and toes crossed!

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SK8 AND DESTROY
 04/27/2022 01:35 PM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52251
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

fyi, 13 to 14 seconds on 20 miler.
 04/27/2022 04:35 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

like tom say- wind,waves or tide...pick 2
 04/27/2022 05:43 PM
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Kimo63

Posts: 541
Joined Forum: 04/22/2012

No matter what , I'll find something some where to ride . It's just fun getting out there to feel the Stoke . Good luck to all
 04/27/2022 09:09 PM
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3rdworldlover

Posts: 22496
Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

It was packing a punch this evening in north Jensen.
Surprising power
 04/30/2022 10:23 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52251
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

1009 AM EDT Sat Apr 30 2022

SYNOPSIS
A weakening frontal boundary across south Florida and
the adjacent Atlantic will dissipate today. The western Atlantic
high pressure ridge will produce several more days of moderate to
fresh onshore flow, with poor boating conditions continuing into
this evening. Higher coverage of showers and embedded lightning
storms is expected through this weekend, especially offshore the
Treasure Coast. Winds and seas will slowly subside early next
week.

Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
1009 AM EDT Sat Apr 30 2022

THIS AFTERNOON
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet
with occasional seas to 6 feet. A dominant period 12 seconds. A
moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of
showers in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
showers in the afternoon.


SUNDAY
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with
occasional seas to 5 feet. A dominant period 6 seconds. A
moderate chop on the intracoastal waters. Chance of showers and
slight chance of thunderstorms.

MONDAY
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet with
occasional seas to 5 feet. A moderate chop on the intracoastal
waters. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

TUESDAY
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

WEDNESDAY
Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
 05/03/2022 11:01 AM
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Central Floridave

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Check ur favorite wave model for next week, 5/11. Always big and great surf in the long range forecast!

 05/03/2022 11:32 AM
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tom

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and my dreams....

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 05/04/2022 05:52 AM
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wtf

Posts: 6945
Joined Forum: 11/23/2005

Originally posted by: Central Floridave

Check ur favorite wave model for next week, 5/11. Always big and great surf in the long range forecast!

No there is not. The forecast has been onshore winds in that time frame for days. The forecast has been surf with shitty winds/conditions and it has not budged for a week or more. Quit making shit up.


-------------------------
QOP = Terrorists
FK = Gay
 05/04/2022 06:06 AM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25071
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Surfline has next Thursday morning offshore.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 05/04/2022 06:07 AM
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wtf

Posts: 6945
Joined Forum: 11/23/2005

Originally posted by: johnnyboy

Surfline has next Thursday morning offshore.

Which is after the peak of the swell when it is trending down and only for a short time frame.


-------------------------
QOP = Terrorists
FK = Gay

Edited: 05/04/2022 at 06:08 AM by wtf
 05/04/2022 09:22 AM
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long_flaco1

Posts: 1451
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Originally posted by: wtf

Originally posted by: johnnyboy



Surfline has next Thursday morning offshore.


Which is after the peak of the swell when it is trending down and only for a short time frame.


I'LL TAKE IT! I literally don't use vacation days for ANYTHING except surfing when its good.. I don't call in sick ever and this is JUUUUST what I needed to hear! (That Surfline insight without paying 100$ bones a year for it )

Thanks Gents! See you Thursday at dawn



-------------------------
SK8 AND DESTROY
 05/04/2022 06:14 PM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52251
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Any surf in the month of May is great surf.

Your mileage may vary...
 05/04/2022 06:25 PM
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tom

Posts: 8013
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In FL, I hate to limit that to May....

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
 05/05/2022 12:36 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

I found some sort of underswell well N o the cape when the tide was coming back in. lots of fun lefts probably not big enough for plan B but i still had a good tyme
 05/06/2022 06:16 AM
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jdbman

Posts: 12159
Joined Forum: 07/28/2003

From surfline
For thursday 5/12/22

4-6ft+
Chest to 1ft overhead
4-6ft
Chest to overhead
Surfline Good size NE swell lingers but winds likely to remain problematic. Could see some improvement pending the track of low pressure though so worth watching


When is the last time you saw something like this happen?

What are the odds of this actually coming true?

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
 05/06/2022 07:09 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52251
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

NWS Melbourne:

Wednesday-Friday...The low pressure system off the VA/NC coast
becomes cutoff, heading southward Wed before retrograding SW on Thu
towards FL. NE winds will increase as the low approaches FL, leading
to hazardous beach and surf conditions. A daily 30-40% of showers
and thunderstorms returns to the forecast. Highs will be mid 80s
inland and low 80s along the coast.

While models continue to maintain good agreement on the development
and trajectory of this system, timing and location vary a bit with
the ECM bringing the center more towards Jacksonville, while the GFS
brings it the The Cape before turning northwestward, and the
Canadian kills it off before reaching The Bahamas. Impacts along the
east central FL coast will be highly dependent on the position of
the system as it reaches the SE coast. The further south the low
takes, the more coastal impacts such as beach erosion, rough surf,
and even coastal flooding, could be experienced.
 05/06/2022 08:47 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

Originally posted by: jdbman What are the odds of this actually coming true?
they just went UP for y'all, since I have a mid-day dentist appt that day!
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