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Topic Title: May 26th shows spike up on virtual buoy
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Created On: 05/16/2022 07:45 AM
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 05/16/2022 07:45 AM
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Central Floridave

Posts: 52249
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Not sure what from, but check stormsurf virtual buoy for May 26th.

Ten days away so reliability is iffy, but something to watch. Sliding into Hurricane season soon and I think NHC wants to expand the start of the season into May rather than June 1st.
 05/16/2022 08:19 AM
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LaJune

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Joined Forum: 10/04/2015

Maybe from this? (GFS model discussion on FLHurricane.com) https://flhurricane.com/cyclone/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=114076&an=0&page=0&gonew=1#UNREAD

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Heavy is sign of reliability
 05/16/2022 01:16 PM
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johnnyboy

Posts: 25071
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Surfline has what looks like tropical storm winds those days.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

 05/16/2022 04:38 PM
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Central Floridave

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Tune in next week for another exciting episode of As The Model Turns...
 05/16/2022 05:10 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

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& also .... Always big and great surf in the long range forecast!
 05/17/2022 03:00 AM
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jdbman

Posts: 12159
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Surfline:

"Long Term Forecast Analysis (Wednesday, May 18th and Beyond)

Easterly swell fades as the surf is trending smaller heading into midweek, so we'll see tiny surf for most breaks. That bottoms out in the 1-2? range for mid to late week at the better spots so you'll want to grab the log to make the most of it, especially in the mornings when conditions look cleanest. The weekend also looks pretty slow.

The surf is down and unfortunately, no surf is expected through the rest of this week. The weekend should see some small local wind chop, but it doesn't look like much real surf. Reminding us that summer is here, the National Hurricane Center began issuing daily outlooks over the weekend. Even though the season doesn't officially start until June 1st, we've seen a named storm form in the pre-season every year since 2015. And right on time, the GFS weather model's trying to spin up a tropical system in the longer range in the Western Caribbean. This is boosting the amount of wind swell and some of the surf sizes shown above. Anything could (and has) happened this time of year, but the model has a history of false alarms in this region. No reason to get excited or worried just yet."

May 26 shows 2-3 with onshore....

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.
 05/17/2022 03:29 AM
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Central Floridave

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Today (Tuesday) virtual buoy severely got knocked down for May 26th. oh well. Typical.
 05/17/2022 04:50 AM
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surfrc

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Joined Forum: 07/26/2003

GFS

The last 2 runs of the gfs shows the storm staying in the gulf, not crossing Florida and going into the Atlantic giving us waves, but instead slamming Louisiana around May 29. We shall wait and see.
 05/18/2022 03:58 AM
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StirfryMcflurry

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Originally posted by: surfrc but instead slamming Louisiana around May 29. .
IN - before dingpatch can say - it needs a good flushing
 05/18/2022 05:24 AM
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surfrc

Posts: 1022
Joined Forum: 07/26/2003

On this mornings gfs run (06z), the storm goes poof, Louisiana is saved for now. Another weaker one pops up South of Cuba and something else trying to develop off our coast on June 2nd (fantasy land).

Edited: 05/18/2022 at 05:25 AM by surfrc
 05/18/2022 03:29 PM
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Central Floridave

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WooHoo on June 2nd. Always great surf on the long range models.
 05/19/2022 05:42 AM
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tom

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Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Coincidentally, that's the day I plan to win the Lottery! Woo Hoo Indeed!!!

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway
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