-------------------------
Dora Hates You

'Tis the season!

something in the gulf


NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Five, located just north of Bermuda.

1. A broad area of low pressure located along the northern Gulf Coast
is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms. Some
slight development of this system is possible before the disturbance
moves onshore along the northeastern Gulf Coast on Monday. The
system is then forecast to move northeastward and could emerge
offshore of the Carolinas later this week, where environmental
conditions are expected to be more conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

MONDAY South winds 5 knots becoming southeast 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet with a dominant period 9 seconds. A light chop on the intracoastal waters. Showers and thunderstorms likely.

You are right Dave. Hopefully we get one 30N 75W that sits for a few weeks and makes no land fall.... THAT would be "the gift that keeps on giving"!

-------------------------
Time and tide wait for no one.....

Hey, look, do your push-ups and eat ur wheeties. Kyle returns this year...


Here is the list of 2020 hurricane names:

Arthur
Bertha
Cristobal
Dolly
Edouard
Fay
Gonzalo
Hanna
Isaias
Josephine
Kyle
Laura
Marco
Nana
Omar
Paulette
Rene
Sally
Teddy
Vicky
Wilfred

Edouard, we barely knew you...on to Fay. I remember Tropical Storm Fay a few years ago dropping 24 inches of rain in 24 hours in Brevard. My yard was flooded and pool under water.

Tropical Storm Edouard Advisory Number 8
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052020
500 AM AST Mon Jul 06 2020

...EDOUARD MOVING QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD...
...EXPECTED TO BECOME POST-TROPICAL LATER TODAY...

1. A small low pressure system is located near the coast of the
Florida Panhandle between Panama City and Apalachicola. The
associated thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, and
significant development appears unlikely before the low moves inland
during the next several hours. This system is expected to evolve
into a larger low pressure system and move northeastward, possibly
emerging offshore of the Carolinas later this week where
environmental conditions are expected to be
more conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. A strong tropical wave, centered about 650 miles east of the
Windward Islands, is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Some slight development of this system is possible
today before environmental conditions become hostile for
development on Tuesday. The wave is forecast to move through the
Lesser Antilles on Tuesday and could produce locally heavy rainfall
as well as gusty winds on some of those islands.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

A summer swell? By God's grace?

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

FAY SUCKED! Sat on us for a week.... had to rent a gas powered pump to drain the yard

I had $10000 damage to due flooding on my house in Rockledge. Since it was never a hurricane status....Homeowner's Insurance didn't cover it. Fortunately, I had purchased Flood Insurance the year before at $225...for the year!

-------------------------

Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

This Monday morning we have a ESE swell at knee high in sets breaking on the beach with 5-10mph SW wind going SE, possible longboard wave once the tide drops.

Surfline?
or is that your eyeball vizzie?

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

Gonzalo was awesome! He's comin back around already? Woooooo Hooooooooo! Gracias- Mahalo! in advance. If........ he stays off shore and no catastrophic landfall. thanks!

The tide stays too high till the wind swings east.

This is Florida.

-------------------------
I was right.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located near the coast of northeastern
South Carolina continues to produce a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms over the adjacent Atlantic waters and
portions of eastern North Carolina. The low is expected to move
northeastward near or just offshore of the North Carolina Outer
Banks on Thursday, and then turn north-northeastward and move along
the mid-Atlantic coast Friday. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical or
subtropical cyclone is likely to form within the next day or so.
Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce locally
heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across portions
of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and southern
New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also possible
along the North Carolina Outer Banks through Thursday and along the
mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and Saturday.
Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system
and refer to products from your local National Weather Service
office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

cflD

Chance of CFLA getting waves from this system: <1%

May tighten the gradient some....

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

Just something to watch. Nobody said anything about swell.
But maybe if you are on Long Island New York you May see swell from it.

A new center reformation might be in progress w/ Invest #98L.

The primary center is now just S of Morehead City, NC. However, blossoming convective updrafts E of the center is stretching vorticity & may become the focal point for a new mesovortex tonight.


-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has increased overnight in
association with an area of low pressure located about 60 miles east
of Wilmington, North Carolina. The thunderstorm activity is
currently located well east and northeast of the low's center, but
only a small increase in organization or a reformation of the
center closer to the thunderstorm activity could result in the
formation of a tropical or subtropical cyclone later today or
tonight. The low is expected to move northeastward or
north-northeastward near or just offshore of the North Carolina
Outer Banks later today and then along the mid-Atlantic coast
tonight through Friday night.

Regardless of development, the system is expected to produce
locally heavy rainfall that could cause some flash flooding across
portions of eastern North Carolina, the coastal mid-Atlantic, and
southern New England during the next few days. Gusty winds are also
possible along the North Carolina Outer Banks today, and along
the mid-Atlantic and southern New England coasts Friday and
Saturday. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of
this system and refer to products from your local National Weather
Service office. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is
scheduled to investigate this system later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Brown