A period of hazardous boating conditions is becoming more likely
Friday afternoon into Saturday as winds quickly veer N/NNE behind
the front and increase to 20-25 knots. Seas build up to 6 feet, and
possibly 7 feet in the Gulf Stream. A Small Craft Advisory may need
to be issued.

Saturday-Sunday...As high pressure builds into the western Atlantic,
expect pressure gradient to remain tight across the local waters
this weekend. Hazardous boating conditions could linger into this
weekend, as winds veer east at 15-20 knots. This produced a long
fetch across the local waters, building seas to 5-6 feet nearshore
and up to 7 feet offshore. At this point, the seas forecast could be
on the conservative side, with some models indicating seas up to 8-
10 feet possible.

I'll Take It!!!

Been so long, this will be me after that first wave hits me!!.....



-------------------------
Time and tide wait for no one.....

!!

-------------------------
ola ~

It's better than nothing I guess. This is definitely the longest no-waves-at-all run I can remember in my 40 years of surfing. I've only surfed a hand full of times in months and I'm not real picky about waves.

-------------------------
I was right.

Virtual buoys and Wx models aren't really giving it too much size...But, I maybe bigger than forecast (which rarely happens). Surf in the Month of May is rare. Hurricane season is right around the corner...but...


SYNOPSIS
The axis of the Atlantic high pressure ridge will
remain over central Florida through today, then collapse Thursday
as a frontal boundary sags toward the area. A much higher chance
of showers and storms through Thursday, as a low pressure system
develops east of the state and moves away. High pressure will
build north of Florida into the weekend. An increasing northeast
fetch will cause swells to build into the local waters from Friday
into this weekend.

I'll take anything right now. Let me worry about the wind and where I can hide

It's all in the board for this one. Short wide and fat. Good for stormy days. I am going to call mine the stormy Daniels.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

Good enough.

As an aside Tix to CA low $200s. Was just out there and surfed 8 of 10 days. Cold but fun. Got a south swell in Ventura. Could have used a tad more volume in my board. Oomph. Sweetness.

Been watching the trestles cam. The wave looks so easy. It's almost always better than here.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

SYNOPSIS
A frontal boundary will surge southward across the
local waters by mid afternoon. A low pressure center will develop
east of the state late tonight and move seaward into Friday. High
pressure will build north of Florida into the weekend. A
increasing northeast fetch building over the region will bring
higher ocean swell to the local waters from Friday through the
upcoming weekend.
Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-
422 AM EDT Thu May 13 2021

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION


TODAY
North winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots
in the late morning and afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a
dominant period 9 seconds. Becoming choppy on the intracoastal
waters. Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms.

TONIGHT
North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to
15 knots after midnight. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a dominant period
9 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of
showers.

FRIDAY
North winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet with a
dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.
Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.

FRIDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.
Choppy on the intracoastal waters. Slight chance of showers in
the evening.

SATURDAY
Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet. A
moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.

SATURDAY NIGHT
Northeast winds 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.

SUNDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.

SUNDAY NIGHT
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

MONDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

fyi, surf's up this Thursday evening. North wind though.

This morning was bigger and close to shore. Tons of seaweed snd fast drops. Not a lot of long rides but some. Way more fun since it's been a while.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

Trestles is fat~~ the Lefts' steeper.

-------------------------
ola ~

My hot dog was better than expected.

My steak is great.

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

Chop Hop Week!

When will it end?

Models show possible winds slowing down late 'this weekend'.

Also, possible low pressure system forming near Bermuda next few days. An interesting feature in the models. Will it be strong enough to send long period swell? Virtual buoys say yes.

20 mile buoy today: 5 feet 12 seconds with 8 feet of wind chop.

A strong high pressure ridge will remain anchored over
the eastern U.S. and western Atlantic through this weekend. A
long fetch of freshening east winds will continue to push building
swells into the local waters resulting in hazardous boating
conditions through late week.


TODAY
East winds 20 knots and gusty. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a
dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.

FRIDAY
East winds 15 to 20 knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet with a
dominant period 8 seconds. Choppy on the intracoastal waters.

SATURDAY
East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet. A
moderate chop on the intracoastal waters.

SUNDAY
East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 4 to 6 feet.

MONDAY
Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast in the
afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu May 20 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system has developed within a broad area
of cloudiness and thunderstorms about 600 miles east-southeast of
Bermuda. The low is expected to develop gale-force winds later today
while it moves generally northward. The low is forecast to move
westward and southwestward over warmer waters on Friday, and will
likely become a short-lived subtropical cyclone near and to the
northeast of Bermuda on Friday. The system is expected to move
toward the north and northeast into a more hostile environment by
late Sunday into Monday. For more information on this developing
low pressure area, please see High Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA
Ocean Prediction Center and forecast products issued by the Bermuda
Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu May 20 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system located about 650 miles east-
northeast of Bermuda is now moving northward, and recent satellite
wind data indicate that the system has gale-force winds. The low
is expected to turn westward and west-southwestward over warmer
waters tonight and Friday, and it will likely become a subtropical
cyclone near and to the northeast of Bermuda on Friday. After that
time, the system is expected to move toward the north and northeast
into a more hostile environment by late Sunday into Monday. For more
information on this developing low pressure area, please see High
Seas forecasts issued by the NOAA Ocean Prediction Center and
forecast products, including a tropical storm watch, issued by the
Bermuda Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Subtropical Storm Ana Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL012021
500 AM AST Sat May 22 2021

...SUBTROPICAL STORM ANA FORMS JUST NORTHEAST OF BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.2N 62.2W
ABOUT 200 MI...320 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 240 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Bermuda

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Ana was
located near latitude 34.2 North, longitude 62.2 West. The storm is
moving toward the west-southwest near 3 mph (6 km/h). A continued
slow and erratic motion is expected through tonight, followed by a
faster northeastward motion on Sunday and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast today, but gradual weakening
is expected tonight and Sunday. Ana is expected to dissipate in a
couple of days.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) north of the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible on Bermuda today.