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Topic Title: TD #8. T.S. Henri Topic Summary: Nice spot for a storm to flare up! Created On: 08/16/2021 04:36 AM |
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08/20/2021 10:15 AM
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I was hoping for more size. Log it is.
------------------------- "One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky. |
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08/20/2021 10:28 AM
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Satellite was 2-4 feet in inconsistent long period swell. It was glassy until the wind turned onshore at noon. Caught a few fun ones. Good warm up for bigger stuff for the bigger surf to come into September/October (knock on wood).
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08/20/2021 10:48 AM
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<=Not today! Nice lil brunch/liquid lunch somewheres between tips spot and dave's, lol the secrets out today, hello Henry! Fun lil glassy waist to chest sets with refreshing upwelling cool spots, like Dave says a good warmup for Big (but hopefully not too big) September! and now, back to my oar....uggh!
Edited: 08/20/2021 at 10:48 AM by IamSAW2 |
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08/20/2021 11:08 AM
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AS PREDICTED - once the tide backed off this morning (north o the cape) the outer sandbar started breaking and it was magical fun on the LB for a couple hours , (with a lot of turtles around, havn't seen that many in a long time.) ..? wooooo hooo x 10! tamari looks like a similar set up, with the weekend warriors and henri chasers, added to the mix
Edited: 08/20/2021 at 11:11 AM by StirfryMcflurry |
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08/20/2021 11:15 AM
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It's maybe 3' long period up here in Volusia and is breaking outside but barely - more longboard wave then cane swell. Still something to surf ; )
------------------------- get up early and go surf - it'll make that hangover go away and/or make the workday more tolerable :) |
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08/20/2021 11:32 AM
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Fun on streets. Shortboardable
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08/20/2021 12:09 PM
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Update: just came back from a quick session now the low tide has passed, quite a bit bigger sets coming in now on outside, inconsistent but there if you're patient! Probably peak of swell will be next low tide or tomorrow DP?? Still nice little bit of stoke to finish the week, and thank GOD the storm isn't pointed at us - hope those folks up NE plan accordingly & stay safe as it's been a longgggg time!
------------------------- get up early and go surf - it'll make that hangover go away and/or make the workday more tolerable :) Edited: 08/20/2021 at 12:10 PM by surferclimber |
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08/20/2021 01:24 PM
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I drove over for my Dan, Sunrise Surfer tribute. Paddled out at sunrise. Caught a few for Dan. Wish the swell had arrived sooner.
------------------------- Ah, religion, bigotry dressed up as morality. |
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08/20/2021 03:22 PM
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Yep, a decent wave at the secret Satellite break. Had there not been an additional 150 people, it would have been really fun.
------------------------- I was right. |
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08/20/2021 04:06 PM
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I heard the chatter about increasing swell as the day played out, soooooo, I check it and wait, sunrise, no paddle out, gonna get bigger later!! Check around 10, same thing, gonna get bigger I`ll save it for that.. Check after dead low, still glassy but closing pretty bad, and no real increase yet so I wait, check around 4:40, not bigger yet, dang, oh well I do finally paddle out and figure with the incoming tide push and more water, with light on shores will be the call, way more makable, so I wait pretty much the whole day and was abit underwhelmed, but there is some swell in the water and I had a blast. Here`s to you Sunrise Dan, RIP Bro
------------------------- I've decided to accept the fact - I'll always be a big kid! Edited: 08/20/2021 at 04:07 PM by JBSURF |
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08/21/2021 06:47 AM
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Still waves this saturday, but half the size. In retrospect the virtual buoys did get it right. Most of the wind fetch was on the other side of the storm and not pointed at us. Saw some photos of hatteras, looked pretty big there. Looks like Long Island may take a hit. Also, of note in this discussion is about how the eye may have stronger winds today in the NW quadrant. Maybe a sneaky NE swell from it the next couple of days, and maybe not.
Strange showings on swell models for mid-week, but is that SE angle?!? Something to watch. Glad I paddle out yesterday and got two hours in. I can tell you as getting older swimming 1/4 mile a day prior isn't enough to be in good surf shape. Nothing gets you in surf shape better than surfing. My Hammy wanted to cramp up on my last wave I caught after two hours. Prob due to it being 95F and two hours and approaching 60 years old combined. But, Inspired to get in better surf shape. Also, my first outside set wave was dedicated to Sunrise Surfer. I said thank You Dan as I got to my feet. It was a very fun wave. Tropical Storm Henri Discussion Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082021 500 AM EDT Sat Aug 21 2021 An earlier GMI satellite microwave image continued to indicate that Henri's low-level center was still located near the northwestern edge of the convective canopy. However, more recent geostationary satellite imagery shows that the convection is beginning to wrap around the northeastern and eastern portions of the circulation suggesting that the anticipated decrease in shear is occuring, and that Henri may be on the verge of strengthening. The latest subjective satellite intensity estimates from SAB and TAFB remained unchanged so the initial intensity remains 60 kt, in agreement with those estimates and the earlier aircraft data. The next reconnaissance aircraft mission should be in the storm around 1200 UTC this morning. Henri is moving north-northeastward or 015/10 kt. A mid- to upper-level low and associated trough over the Appalachians and Ohio Valley should steer Henri north-northeastward at a faster forward speed today. As Henri moves around the eastern portion of the upper-low, the storm is forecast to turn north-northwestward tonight. This motion will bring the center of Henri near or over portions of Long Island and Southern New England on Sunday and into the northeastern United States Sunday night. After that time, the cyclone should turn east-northeastward as it becomes caught in the mid-latitude westerlies. The latest dynamical model envelope continues to narrow for the first 24 to 36 hours of the forecast period and only small adjustments were needed to that portion of the track. After that time, the guidance has trended to taking Henri farther inland over the Northeastern United States, and the NHC forecast as been modified accordingly. Decreasing shear, upper-level divergence associated with the trough to Henri's west, and warm SSTs should allow the cyclone to strengthen during the next 12-18 hours. Although not explicitly shown in the intensity forecast, Henri could still peak around 75 kt later today or this evening. After that time, cooler waters are likely to cause a gradual reduction in intensity, however, Henri is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength at landfall. Once the center moves inland over the Northeast United States, a faster rate of filling is anticipated. The system is forecast to become post-tropical in about 60 hours, and it will likely dissipate around day 4, if not a little sooner. The updated intensity forecast is near the upper-end of the intensity guidance during the first 12-24 hours, and is close to the Decay-SHIPS model thereafter. Users are reminded to not focus on the exact forecast of the center of Henri since impacts will extend far from the center. Key Messages: 1. Dangerous storm surge inundation is expected to begin late tonight or Sunday in portions of Long Island, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and southeastern Massachusetts, where a Storm Surge Warning has been issued. Dangerous storm surge is possible beginning late tonight or Sunday in western portions of Long Island and Connecticut in the Storm Surge Watch area. Residents in these areas should follow any advice given by local officials. 2. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin late tonight or Sunday in portions of Long Island and Connecticut, where a Hurricane Warning has been issued. Hurricane conditions are possible late tonight or Sunday across portions of Rhode Island. 3. Heavy rainfall may lead to considerable flash, urban, and small stream flooding, along with the potential for widespread minor and isolated moderate river flooding, over portions of Long Island, New England, southeast New York and northern New Jersey. 4. Swells from Henri will continue to affect much of the east coast of the U.S. through the weekend. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip currents. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0900Z 33.1N 73.2W 60 KT 70 MPH 12H 21/1800Z 35.6N 72.3W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 22/0600Z 38.8N 72.0W 70 KT 80 MPH 36H 22/1800Z 40.9N 72.7W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND 48H 23/0600Z 42.1N 73.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND 60H 23/1800Z 42.8N 73.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 72H 24/0600Z 43.3N 71.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND 96H 25/0600Z 44.5N 62.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 120H 26/0600Z...DISSIPATED |
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08/21/2021 07:46 AM
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I guess I should have listened when the internet told me to forget about it.
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08/21/2021 08:02 AM
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A few spots in Satellite were really fun from 10:30 till noon.
I hope the next swell decides to be a little less specific. ------------------------- I was right. |
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08/21/2021 09:47 AM
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"I guess I should have listened when the internet told me to forget about it."
Old dogs can learn new tricks! |
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08/21/2021 04:12 PM
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08/21/2021 05:00 PM
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Fort pierce was good, or at least me and 400 new friends thought so.
------------------------- "One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky. |
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08/22/2021 07:27 AM
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08/23/2021 04:16 AM
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08/28/2021 05:17 AM
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Edited: 08/28/2021 at 05:17 AM by StirfryMcflurry |
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TD #8. T.S. Henri
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