Just looking at the long range...

3. Ida is expected to be a dangerous major hurricane when it reaches
the northern Gulf Coast on Sunday, and the risk of hurricane-force
winds continues to increase, especially along portions of the
Louisiana coast, including metropolitan New Orleans. Potentially
devastating wind damage could occur where the core of Ida moves
onshore.

4. Ida is likely to produce heavy rainfall later Sunday into Monday
across the central Gulf Coast from southeast Louisiana to coastal
Mississippi and Alabama, as well as the Lower Mississippi Valley,
resulting in considerable flash, urban, small stream, and riverine
flooding.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/1500Z 20.7N 82.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 28/0000Z 22.2N 83.7W 65 KT 75 MPH...OVER WESTERN CUBA
24H 28/1200Z 24.0N 85.8W 75 KT 85 MPH...OVER WATER
36H 29/0000Z 25.9N 87.8W 90 KT 105 MPH
48H 29/1200Z 27.6N 89.7W 105 KT 120 MPH
60H 30/0000Z 29.0N 90.8W 105 KT 120 MPH
72H 30/1200Z 30.3N 91.3W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND
96H 31/1200Z 33.3N 90.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 01/1200Z 35.2N 87.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

Yeah, ole Aunt Ida looks to be an angry beast..... not sure if the speed she's moving will justify the long drive over.... timing of swell/wind is dicey

It's sad but, New O always needs a good flushing.

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Dora Hates You

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 22.1N 83.2W 70 KT 80 MPH 12H 28/0600Z 23.5N 84.8W 85 KT 100 MPH 24H 28/1800Z 25.3N 86.9W 105 KT 120 MPH 36H 29/0600Z 27.1N 89.0W 115 KT 130 MPH 48H 29/1800Z 28.6N 90.6W 120 KT 140 MPH

Friday 5pm stronger forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 27/2100Z 22.1N 83.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 28/0600Z 23.5N 84.8W 85 KT 100 MPH
24H 28/1800Z 25.3N 86.9W 105 KT 120 MPH
36H 29/0600Z 27.1N 89.0W 115 KT 130 MPH
48H 29/1800Z 28.6N 90.6W 120 KT 140 MPH
60H 30/0600Z 30.0N 91.3W 80 KT 90 MPH...INLAND
72H 30/1800Z 31.5N 91.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
96H 31/1800Z 34.4N 89.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
120H 01/1800Z 36.0N 86.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW

Predicted to land as a Cat 4. Damn

Six foot barrels if you want it...many miles to drive to find it...gassing up.

now is that really good karma, ding?

Live NOLA cam on Bourban street.

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/l...nstreet/?cam=catsmeow2

Hurricane Ida Intermediate Advisory Number 14A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
100 PM CDT Sun Aug 29 2021

...EYE OF EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE IDA MOVING OVER
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA...
...CATASTROPHIC STORM SURGE, EXTREME WINDS, AND FLASH FLOODING IN
PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM CDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.2N 90.3W
ABOUT 20 MI...30 KM W OF GRAND ISLE LOUISIANA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...150 MPH...240 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...930 MB...27.46 INCHES

My buddy surfed north of Naples and caught a soft fat log roller with offshores. It was fun but not really what you think of when you think of hurricane swell.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

and better than it was in my part of S. Pinellas Co.



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"Most people would die sooner than think; in fact, they do." - Bertrand Russell


"Morality is doing what is right, regardless of what you are told. Religion is doing what you are told, regardless of what is right.


If I do not answer you .... nothing personal, I just have you on ignore.

Edited: 08/29/2021 at 02:47 PM by LBLarry

Lots of driving.... lots of paddling... some legit solid surf, and surfing with some super cool world class rippers was cool too . I'm a tired low-functioning human today. Hopefully carnage in LA wasnt too bad.... EURO is super bullish on one for next week... we'll see

Edited: 08/30/2021 at 07:03 AM by Plan B

Ben Gravy makes the drive from Jersey to an unnmamed Gulf location and scores.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-3zCyMZczYM

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

New Y always needs a good flushing.

FIFY