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Topic Title: Polls
Topic Summary: IBD Polls
Created On: 10/20/2020 10:56 AM
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 10/28/2020 12:10 PM
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Cole

Posts: 68401
Joined Forum: 07/22/2003

Originally posted by: RustyTruck

Originally posted by: Cole



Yes, he is going to keep Barr and Pompeo in their current positions and use one as a henchman and the other as his personal lawyer.







I listened to a preview of who he might tap on NPR the other day and none of them were Republicans.




Biden eyes GOP candidates for Cabinet slots



http://www.politico.com/news/2...ublican-cabinet-429972


Politics.

AKA How to Succeed in Washington DC.



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I was right.
 10/31/2020 08:24 AM
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Cole

Posts: 68401
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IBD - Biden +6

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I was right.
 10/31/2020 10:04 AM
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Plan B

Posts: 3302
Joined Forum: 03/08/2004

You guys still haven't learned these polls don't mean shit?
 10/31/2020 12:03 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
Joined Forum: 08/17/2016

nope. ^ and they hang on to them like a chimp on the monkey bars!
 10/31/2020 02:51 PM
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Greensleeves

Posts: 20478
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Fuck you, why do they even have polling you goddamn idiots? Fuck you are stupid as shit!
 10/31/2020 03:10 PM
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nukeh2o

Posts: 8910
Joined Forum: 03/18/2016

It ain't over til the fat orange brunhilda.....whines.
Cue "march of the valkyries":
Kill da wabbit.....

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It's a democratic hoax
 11/01/2020 12:57 PM
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StirfryMcflurry

Posts: 8746
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Originally posted by: Greensleeves Fuck you, why do they even have polling you goddamn idiots? Fuck you are stupid as shit!
YOU are SO easily triggert and always - in your feelings ..LOL! discuss,
 11/01/2020 02:52 PM
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wtf

Posts: 6945
Joined Forum: 11/23/2005

Originally posted by: wtf

For those unaware, the IBD/TIPP poll is the one that had trump winning in 2016 by 2%.



Some polls were off in 2016, not all were off. The national polling was on point. The state polling is where things broke down for some. The reason they were off though is not accounting for education - since this was never really an indicator of vote one way or the other - until 2016. Pretty much every poll now has that weight built in this go round, so they are not the same polls as 2016. Anyone who wave hands over polling is ignorant, plain and simple.



The more you know...

Just a reminder. And surferclimber is right - the only poll that matters is Tuesday.


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QOP = Terrorists
FK = Gay
 11/01/2020 03:11 PM
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Greensleeves

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wait surferwhiner is right? That the polls don't matter? Well that's absolute horseshit as the polls obviously shape the way campaigns spend their money and time.

If you want to Qotard it down I guess you could phrase it that the polls won't matter after the election. Sure will that make you ladies happy?

Y'all do know a poll and an election are different things right?

Edited: 11/01/2020 at 03:12 PM by Greensleeves
 11/01/2020 04:56 PM
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RustyTruck

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I think trump wins this one, gets Pennsylvania and Florida, and I'll have no patience for Democratic excuses. A repeat of 2016 is inexcusable. It can only be two things, intentional or pathologically incompetent.

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Capitalism is based on the ridiculous notion that you can enjoy limitless growth in a closed, finite system.

In biology, such behavior of cells is called "cancer".
 11/01/2020 05:12 PM
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surferclimber

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Originally posted by: Greensleeves wait surferwhiner is right? That the polls don't matter? Well that's absolute horseshit as the polls obviously shape the way campaigns spend their money and time. If you want to Qotard it down I guess you could phrase it that the polls won't matter after the election. Sure will that make you ladies happy? Y'all do know a poll and an election are different things right?
Greendick, just one clarification: I never said they don't matter, rather I just made a point that they're not as perfect as we might want to believe, and the only result that matters is Wednesday morning! Perhaps take a look into the confounding effect of sampling bias. As somebody who earned a master's degree in mathematical statistics prior to going on to a PhD in another field I could explain a lot, but since you already know everything I'll just keep it simple and say they're all really just educated guesses and we won't know until Wed.

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get up early and go surf - it'll make that hangover go away and/or make the workday more tolerable :)

 11/01/2020 06:01 PM
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fishkller

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Originally posted by: RustyTruck

I think trump wins this one, gets Pennsylvania and Florida, and I'll have no patience for Democratic excuses. .



Rusty you keep flip flopping on who you think will win..

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When America was "great"
 11/01/2020 06:45 PM
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RustyTruck

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Originally posted by: fishkller

Originally posted by: RustyTruck



I think trump wins this one, gets Pennsylvania and Florida, and I'll have no patience for Democratic excuses. .






Rusty you keep flip flopping on who you think will win..


True. I feel it shifting back and forth, but I sense trump pulling ahead. Biden offered nothing to improve the material conditions that would bring out the working class. In fact a fair number of them see their best chances with a trump economy. Funny thing how Biden gets painted red as a socialist with none of the actual socialist policies that would bring the proles to polls as it were. And he turned away our votes outright.

-------------------------
Capitalism is based on the ridiculous notion that you can enjoy limitless growth in a closed, finite system.

In biology, such behavior of cells is called "cancer".
 11/01/2020 06:55 PM
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wtf

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Originally posted by: RustyTruck

Originally posted by: fishkller



Originally posted by: RustyTruck







I think trump wins this one, gets Pennsylvania and Florida, and I'll have no patience for Democratic excuses. .












Rusty you keep flip flopping on who you think will win..




True. I feel it shifting back and forth, but I sense trump pulling ahead. Biden offered nothing to improve the material conditions that would bring out the working class. In fact a fair number of them see their best chances with a trump economy. Funny thing how Biden gets painted red as a socialist with none of the actual socialist policies that would bring the proles to polls as it were. And he turned away our votes outright.

You might have a point if there were a large number of undecided voters. But there is not his year - people made up their minds well before September.


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QOP = Terrorists
FK = Gay
 11/01/2020 09:25 PM
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Greensleeves

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Oh surferwhiner I started as a math major but bailed because it was stale. Business degrees here. So you know statistics and polling are real!

So why would surferwhiner bitch about polls...

Oh because surferwhiner supports trump and the polls show him in trouble!
 11/02/2020 07:05 AM
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WG

Posts: 37257
Joined Forum: 03/10/2005

leads this big don't vanish in a day.

Any one poll has a significant sampling error.
But this broad of an average set shows the obvious

Unless a lot of people
are flat out lying,
most of the time,
to almost everyone,
America's choice will clear..

A Biden landslide,
as known after all of the legal votes are counted.

So I'm not worried.
I think we will know the winner before breakfast.
A the entire world will sigh with relief.


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"The truth is incontrovertible.
malice may attack it,
ignorance may deride it,
but in the end,
there it is." -Sir Winston Churchill

Edited: 11/02/2020 at 07:12 AM by WG
 11/02/2020 07:08 AM
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fishkller

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Perhaps it's not Dotard Nation after all

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When America was "great"
 11/02/2020 07:53 AM
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tpapablo

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Joined Forum: 07/25/2003

Looks like a big surge toward Trump over the past week to me. There is a reason Biden came out of his attic this last week. But we shall see.

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I :heart; Q
 11/02/2020 07:58 AM
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RustyTruck

Posts: 33375
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"OBAMA: If you elect Biden & Harris, "you're not going to have to think about them everyday."

Is that enough to bring the turnout against a cult leader?


-------------------------
Capitalism is based on the ridiculous notion that you can enjoy limitless growth in a closed, finite system.

In biology, such behavior of cells is called "cancer".
 11/02/2020 08:01 AM
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fishkller

Posts: 20751
Joined Forum: 11/13/2016


What would Tpapski do if he couldn't dream of Trump every day?

Don't take it away- it's all he's got

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When America was "great"
FORUMS : National Enquirer (FORMERLY NSR) : Polls

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