Tropical tidbits , Surfline and the GFS all have the wayout prediction putting this in our swell window the first week of August . Currently it's still about 32 West longitude

Edited: 07/25/2020 at 04:56 PM by Kimo63

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Hanna, located inland near the border of Texas and Mexico.

1. A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is
located about 1000 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
This system is producing a wide area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms as it moves westward around 20 mph across the
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development and a tropical depressions is likely to
form within the next few days as the system nears the Lesser
Antilles. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

fyi, virtual buoys showing long period tick next weekend. Hope it happens and that thing recurves out to sea.

"The intensity of #92L will possibly help determine its long term track. A stronger system will likely feel a forecasted trough in the 6-10 day range, while a weaker system could track into the Caribbean or through the Greater Antilles. The door is open for all possibilities..."

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So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

Yep. Stronger storms are more apt to be influenced by environmental (and physical) steering factors.... we need that thing to start developing asap

My prediction: Two days of monster closed out walls in onshores, followed by three hours of chest high bowls with west winds before dark and flat the next day.

-------------------------
I was right.

a little -too- on the nose...

Cole, you are being too optimistic.

I have made a correction for you LOL



Two days of monster closed out walls in onshores, followed by three hours of chest high bowls with west winds AFTER dark and flat the next day

-------------------------


Zzzzzzz.. Zzzzzzz.. Braaaaaapp!

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzz....

looks to me like its going to turn into a monster, hope it heads north sooner rather than later

-------------------------
"I remember South Africa in the late 70's, sleeping on the beach at J-bay, smoking ganja with the blacks. On weekends we'd go to the pub in East London to drink beer and fight with the Afrikaners. They liked to fight, I liked to fight. It was a good time"

"92L is dealing with some struggles today. It's ingesting quite a bit of Saharan dry air and is moving very quickly. The circulation is also very large which is helping to pull that dry air in. Large waves need a moist environment. Don't see this pulling together soon. We'll see."

-------------------------
So if you are a surfer I wish you the prosperity that allows you more time to pursue the salt water dream, and the true happiness that comes from warm water, clean waves and the companionship of your fellow surfers. If you are an internet troll just spewing bs then f off.

pretty fair assesment:

-------------------------

sneedeker

Edited: 07/27/2020 at 12:46 PM by harrietdubman

It doesn't have to do much really.. it's a-symmetrical yes but on the northern half. The larger wind field is good for swell generation, so as long as it doesn't dive into the Caribbean it should usher in a nice SE swell for the weekend (Euro has trended a bit north today too aligning more with the GFS). With this scenario, falling apart as it approaches keeps our conditions good and doesn't threaten a costly landfall (swell will already be created). It's kind of a rare but good scenario. Normally when they approach like this we don't get swell before the bad winds, and we're praying for a recurve to avoid landfall and to get the good conditions. The next 48 hours are key.

As of this morning, this is pretty spot-on.... would be nice if it slowed down a bit though..... in the meantime, break out the GFS pom-poms.

Tracking more West.

The spaghetti models now show it coming into FLA.



-------------------------
Dora Hates You

Yep, as previously discussed here, I've lived in Brevard since 1954 and I AM OVER IT! If it's going to be here as anything close to even a CAT 1, I'm Out Of Here!

But, then again, on last night's weather on WFTV (Ch 9) Tom Terry was showing longer term projections that show this as a big blob of rain passing to the south of Cuba but, with plenty of Wet for us. "Most" models do not show it becoming a hurricane. We shall see by Thursday night.

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

Edited: 07/28/2020 at 06:16 AM by dingpatch

Funny, from ding's graphic above, "NHC Advisories and County Emergency Management statements supersede..." bla bla bla. Notice the only model missing? NHC. We're doomed.

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

FWIW: Looked at the Navy's site, FNMOC, just now. GFS show a fizzle on Sat. WW3 shows a fairly strong storm <100 miles off 2ndlight on Sun. Be prepared scouts.

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add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

I don't know what sites to believe anymore. I used to use weatherunderground, and especially follow the Euro model but, after McMasters sold it, they are garbage. They don't even have a forecast for 92L, just a satellite image. I also use FNMOC but, they have changed it and the wave height forecast under the Meteorology Products link is completely different than the models shown under Tropical Applications, which, for the past few days, hasn't even had a forecasted path. I have gone directly to the Euro models but they have two different forecasted track overlays and they are both different too and they are too small to read which model is being used for which track. I sure miss McMaster's old weatherunderground blog and forecast maps.

Its July and nothing to be concerned about until NHC gives a briefing on strength, location and destination. Check out Tropicaltidbits for entertainment first yet useful info on models

Stay positive ya'll

Tropical storm far out into the sea, head high clean waves, during the weekend. Cold beer in your fridge waiting for you

*DOUBLE SHAKA'S*


-------------------------
SK8 AND DESTROY

mp2115 - Not worried, just interested

NHC just posted

Just saw it. Thanks.

Fuck! Do you think I have enough time to get COVID and die before it gets here?

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

It's not going to hit Florida. If it stays as a weak TS or depression it will go south of the keys. If it gets to Hurricane status it will recurve and stay off shore. NHC is hedging their bets and forecasting something in the middle of that which I think is highly unlikely and so does the NHC.

-------------------------
Heavy is sign of reliability

need that fetch to stay on the NE side, and I'm surfing all weekend.

Edited: 07/28/2020 at 09:10 AM by Plan B

Agreed. Good breakdown. Lets hope it does not defy gravity like Tesla.

The progressive runs have it farther out now . The winds look to be offshore Saturday and Sunday . Would be nice to enjoy clean waves with a little meat on them for a change .

Cole, spoken like a true Floridian!!

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

Today was sick.

yup right time tide and sandbar for this morning


fun waves and favorable winds all week
in prep for our hurricane waves

Glad someone got some. It wasn't close to workable at my spot.

We wasted our time looking around down south when should have stayed up here.



-------------------------
I was right.

Long range tracking looks pretty good for recurve and staying WAY out to sea. Obviously looking at virtual buoys it shows a significant uptick for the weekend. Hope it happens!

KONA, KONA, KONA!!!!

-------------------------
SK8 AND DESTROY

Models changed up some overnight. Looks like tracking further East and moving closer to the Bahamas. Yesterday they showed it recurving North once above Puerto Rico. Something to watch!

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about
750 miles east of the Windward Islands is gradually increasing
in organization. However, recent satellite-derived wind data
indicate that the circulation remains broad and elongated, and the
low does not yet have a well-defined center of circulation.
Environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat more
conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical
storm is likely to form during the next couple of days while the
system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and approaches the
Leeward Islands. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
gusty winds are likely across portions of the Leeward Islands on
Wednesday and will spread westward to the Virgin Islands and Puerto
Rico Wednesday night and Thursday. Interests on these islands
should continue to monitor the progress of this system, and
tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions
of the area later today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Checked the Buoys this afternoon , Mid Atlantic is showing 10 ft swell and 12 ft wind waves heading this way . Hope the wind stays light offshore this weekend .

no hype train

going to the gulf
just saying


though we should get some swell
just not great winds

Which buoy number?

-------------------------

Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

Buoy 41040 . All the good buoys have gone dark this evening , only red diamonds showing as offline .Not sure what the failure is .

^new board curse, early symptoms

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

I noticed that too, must be a server deal.



-------------------------
I was right.

Name the missing variable 1) bad winds 2) no swell 3) wrong tide 4) too long of period 5)dog ate my leash Ahhhh surfing (or not) in Florida!!!!!

Sooooooooooo true.

-------------------------

Waiting for waves is ok......most people spend their lives waiting for nothing.

lol, i chuckled

U jag offs jinxed it w this hype asshattery!!!!

Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine Discussion Number 4
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 AM AST Wed Jul 29 2020

Satellite and surface data indicate that the system remains a
trough of low pressure, elongated from SSW to NNE, with almost all
of the strong winds far north of the center position. The most
significant curvature in the low-level wind field and on radar are
near Dominica now, which has good continuity from the previous
advisory, so this feature will continue to be used as the center.
A combination of unflagged SFMR winds from an Air Force plane and
earlier scatterometer winds support 40 kt as the initial wind speed.

The initial motion estimate is about the same as before or 295/20
kt. The ridge to the north of the disturbance is forecast to remain
strong for the next 36 h, which keeps the system moving speedily in
a general west-northwestward direction just south of the Leeward
Islands today, and near or over the Greater Antilles on Thursday.
The ridge is forecast to weaken after that time, which should cause
the cyclone to slow down, and potentially gain more latitude over
the southwestern Atlantic. The model guidance is generally showing
a narrow ridge persisting for a bit longer, however, causing a
small south and west shift in the new NHC forecast at long range.
However, it should be emphasized that this forecast track is highly
uncertain until a true center forms.

Satellite images indicate that a large burst of convection is
occuring near the poorly defined center, which will likely lead to
the system becoming a tropical storm later today. Further
intensification is possible before landfall in the Dominican
Republic on Thursday, assuming the structure continues to improve,
and the wind speed forecast is adjusted slightly higher in the near
term. The cyclone will probably take some time to recover after
moving over the very high mountains of Hispaniola, and some of the
guidance after that time shows an increase in southwesterly shear
over the Straits of Florida that could limit the potential of the
cyclone. Simply put, there are a lot of hurdles in the system's
way, so it is best to stay on the conservative side at the moment
and continue to stress the large uncertainty after it leaves the
Caribbean. Little change was made to the forecast intensity,
although the guidance has come down at longer range for many of the
models.

Interests in Hispaniola, the Bahamas, Cuba, and Florida should
continue to monitor forecasts as changes to both the track and
intensity are likely.

Key Messages:

1. Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine will produce heavy rains and
potentially life-threatening flash flooding and mudslides across
the northern Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and
the Dominican Republic.

2. Tropical storm conditions are likely across portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico today and
spreading westward to portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti
on Thursday. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for these areas.
Do not focus on the details of the track forecast, as rainfall and
wind hazards will extend far from the center of the system.

3. The details of the long-range track and intensity forecasts are
more uncertain than usual since the system does not have a
well-defined center and it could move over portions of the Greater
Antilles later this week. However, this system could bring some
rainfall and wind impacts to portions of Cuba, the Bahamas, and
Florida by the end of the week. Interests there should monitor its
progress and updates to the forecast over the next few days.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 29/0900Z 15.3N 61.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 29/1800Z 16.3N 64.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
24H 30/0600Z 17.8N 67.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 30/1800Z 19.3N 71.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...INLAND
48H 31/0600Z 20.6N 74.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...OVER WATER
60H 31/1800Z 22.1N 76.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 01/0600Z 23.3N 78.7W 50 KT 60 MPH
96H 02/0600Z 25.5N 81.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 03/0600Z 28.5N 83.0W 45 KT 50 MPH

moving too fast

going to the gulf

New thread: is it too late to hype this?

-------------------------

"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.

Amazing how adept these storms are at skirting our massive swell window and running over our tiny finger of land

...after grinding their way up the Caribbean. "Why should I stay over the boring ocean when I can come and visit all of these people!"



-------------------------
I was right.

The NHC 11:00 puts it into the Gulf!! The winds are at 45 MPH so it will probably be named very shortly.


-------------------------
Dora Hates You

exactly what i been saying

"Name the missing variable 1) bad winds 2) no swell 3) wrong tide 4) too long of period 5)dog ate my leash Ahhhh surfing (or not) in Florida!!!!! "

6) sandbars bite 7) Nighttime 8) storm goes in gulf

At the "2:00" more of the models have shifted to the west. Only a few are still "on" FLA.

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

9) wrong board, shortboard and it's a foot and a half 10) forgot water and sunscreen 11) baggies split the butt seam so you're surfing in your shorts, commando, and with a steel zipper 12) laser sharks...

-------------------------
add a signature since I'm here in profile anyway

Ummmmm, , , , at 3:00 a lot of the models are now back to the East just off the coast.

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

A lot hinges on where the eventual closed low forms. Just like with Dorian. Right now the circulation is very broad and diffuse.

-------------------------
...

General troughiness in our vicinity will draw it more north if the circulation consolidates in the north half of the current low.

-------------------------
...

do we load up da bus to da light, or no?

The mountains of PR, Hispaniola and Cuba will keep it from forming up too much.

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

The St Maarten Buoy has been 8 feet at 10 sec Se/E swell , 10 feet of wind driven wave on top of that . All heading our way . We should have something to ride , wind speed and direction is the bigger question for your local break

wind speed and direction is the bigger question for your local break

You could have condensed this by just saying, "Florida."

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I was right.

"You shoulda been here an hour ago"

LOL Exactly. Thats what is happening with this. Coast hugger that froths us up followed by a 1 hour window where it is stiff offshore and cleans up with enough size to fight the wind before getting blown out. Then flat the next morning.

Yes, "Should have been here an hour ago" is our very own Florida phrase.

But, we must also remember that "It is always better where you are not"!

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

That and Tip always makes it look better than it actually was. He has an eye for catching the best waves with the camera.

Check buoy 46.... yeewwwwww

So that swell should start showing up tomorrow afternoon/evening. Winds look like 10 mph east tomorrow afternoon so hopefully we can get an after work session in and the wind wont be that bad. Looks like we will have to wait until this storm passes north of us on Sunday into Monday to get offshores and clean conditions. Watch the flags and be prepared to get on it folks...swell will be dropping fast!

-------------------------

-

Anybody heading up to the Outer Banks? I will be there Sunday and possibly Monday. Pray 4 Waves!

-------------------------
http://www.crsurf.com ~ CR Surf Travel Company

http://www.vacationsbygreg.com
Instagram - @crsurf

. tomm afternoon may be overly optimistic

Just need it to jog a little north and the swell machine switches to full speed ahead....:

Edited: 07/30/2020 at 09:34 AM by Plan B

Plandemic*

-------------------------

"Man is the only creature who refuses to be what he is" a.camus

Cole , I get it. The days of light offshores in the morning and heavy offshores in the afternoon , stopped when I left Haleiwa . I took a lot for granted in those days. Now I just hope it follows the GFS track , gives us better winds and something to ride without tearing the place up .

Heard that. Mother Nature needs to give us a break for once. Make that a double break; good surf and no coastal thrashing.



-------------------------
I was right.

Give us a break from what...?

Clean pumping groundswell instead of Hurricanes knocking on the front door?

That storm name was the jinx. Its usually the exotic-sounding names that brings a good swell with no damage

Exactly.



-------------------------
I was right.

Wow this is such a weird storm really confusing the models haha it's changed so much today! I've never heard this much discussion about a "potential tropical cyclone" or whatever they're STILL calling it, is this a new classification? Not even worthy of depression status? HAha I mean it's a warm core low with sustained winds >40mph? Anyway the broad wind field is good and swell is already headed our way. Just gotta hope it falls apart or gives us a track where you can be in the swell and on the "right side of the storm".. we shall see but the swell charts are almost in line with major hurricane level! That Bahama shadow is looking to come pretty far north on this one though.

Check out windy.com for Sat & Sun

storm is off the east coast with 20-30mph onshores sat, then 10-15mph offshores all day sunday.

hmmm

Last nights GFS was too good to be true.... now.... Either way, swell headed NW. Lets hope it takes a track where the wind doesnt hose us too bad: buoys Buoy 46 = YEEWWWWW

the windy.com forecast has changed since lasr night.

now it looks like crap.

Sending "Positive Vibrations" out to the universe for a fun swell with offshores (In Brevard County) at SOME POINT this weekend! (Glass half full outlook for LIFE YO!)

-------------------------
SK8 AND DESTROY

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 PM AST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was
located near latitude 18.9 North, longitude 69.8 West. Isaias is
moving toward the northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h), and a west-
northwestward to northwestward motion with some decrease in forward
speed is expected over the next couple of days. On the forecast
track, the center of Isaias will continue to move over Hispaniola
through this evening, and be near the Southeastern Bahamas by late
tonight or early Friday. Isaias is forecast to be near the Central
Bahamas Friday night and move near or over the Northwest Bahamas or
South Florida on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some slight weakening is possible as Isaias continues
to move over Hispaniola today. Re-strengthening is forecast on
Friday and Friday night.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km)
primarily to the north of the center. A weather station at Punta
Cana near the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic reported
sustained winds of 39 mph (63 km/h) with a gust to 52 mph (83 km/h)
within the past couple of hours.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).

Cape Verde possible storm from 2pm NHC update as well

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Isaias, located over the northeastern Caribbean Sea.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small area of low
pressure, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands have increased and become better organized during the
day. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further
development, and this system could become a tropical depression
during the next day or so while it drifts generally
north-northwestward. After that time, environmental conditions are
forecast to become less favorable for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

The new update has it making a visit to Brevard.

Fl, not NC.

-------------------------
I was right.

The preponderance of the models have it out East and into the Bahamas.

The 20 hundred hours runs should look much better for us (hope).

-------------------------
Dora Hates You

Edited: 07/30/2020 at 01:05 PM by dingpatch

Tropical Storm Isaias Discussion Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020

Surface observations in the Dominican Republic indicate that the
poorly defined center of Isaias moved over the southeastern portion
of Hispaniola around 1600 UTC. There is currently a significant
concentration of convection near the mid-level center that is
located along the northern coast of the island, and recent
surface observations suggest that a new center may be forming
near the area of mid-level rotation seen in satellite imagery. The
advisory position has been placed between the previous estimated
center location and the mid-level center until it becomes more clear
that reformation has occurred. Earlier ASCAT data that arrived
shortly after the previous advisory and reconnaissance aircraft
data from this morning supported an intensity of 45-50 kt, and since
there has no significant degradation the overall organization since
that time, the initial intensity remains 50 kt. The central
pressure of 999 mb is based on a surface observation of 1001 mb and
25 kt of wind at Puerto Plata in the Dominican Republic.

The initial motion estimate is a somewhat uncertain 310/17 kt. The
track forecast reasoning has not changed since the previous
advisory. The tropical storm should continue on a general northwest
heading during the next 24 to 36 hours along the southern side of a
subtropical ridge. After that time, a trough moving into the
east-central United States should cause Isaias to turn
north-northwestward and northward as the western portion of the
ridge erodes. By early next week, Isaias is expected to turn
northeastward and accelerate ahead of the aforementioned trough.
The 1200 UTC dynamical model guidance has shifted eastward and now
that Isaias is expected to become a stronger and deeper cyclone,
that also favors a more eastward track. The updated official
forecast is a blend of the various consensus aids. Since the new
center is still in its formative stage some additional shifts in
the track may occur. In addition, strong winds and heavy rainfall
will extend far from the center.

Visible imagery has shown significant banding near the mid-level
circulation. Assuming that the center reforms near that feature and
moves away from Hispaniola tonight, strengthening is expected
during the next 24-36 hours and Isaias is now forecast to become a
hurricane. After that time, there are mixed signals regarding the
amount of southwesterly vertical wind shear and the models
generally do not show much additional strengthening. Therefore,
the NHC intensity forecast shows a leveling off in intensity after
48 h. It still needs to be stressed that that there is a higher
than usual amount of uncertainty in the intensity forecast.

Key Messages:

1. Isaias will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening
flash flooding and mudslides across Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, northern Haiti, Turks and Caicos and the Bahamas.

2. Hurricane conditions and dangerous storm surge are expected in
portions of the central and northwest Bahamas late Friday and
Saturday. Preparations to protect life and property should be
rushed to completion. Tropical storm conditions will continue to
spread across portions of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the Turks
and Caicos and the southeast Bahamas tonight through Friday, and
Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for these areas.

3. Tropical storm conditions are possible along portions of the
Florida east coast beginning Saturday, and a Tropical Storm Watch
has been issued. While storm surge watches are not currently needed
for this area, they may be required tonight or early tomorrow if the
forecast track shifts closer to the coast. Heavy rains associated
with Isaias may begin to affect eastern Florida this weekend,
potentially resulting in isolated flash and urban flooding.

4. There is a risk of impacts from winds, heavy rainfall, and storm
surge this weekend along the Florida east coast and spreading
northward along the remainder of the U.S. east coast through early
next week. The details of the track and intensity forecast remain
uncertain and it is too soon to determine the magnitude and location
of these potential impacts, but interests along the entire U.S. east
coast should monitor the progress of Isaias and updates to the
forecast.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 30/2100Z 19.5N 70.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
12H 31/0600Z 20.8N 72.7W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
24H 31/1800Z 22.7N 75.1W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 01/0600Z 24.5N 77.1W 65 KT 75 MPH
48H 01/1800Z 26.1N 78.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
60H 02/0600Z 27.7N 79.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
72H 02/1800Z 29.2N 79.7W 65 KT 75 MPH
96H 03/1800Z 33.3N 78.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 04/1800Z 40.0N 71.0W 60 KT 70 MPH

Well, now it's a hurricane- and right on our doorstep.

RECURVE BABY!



Edited: 07/30/2020 at 02:24 PM by paddleout

..and in the meantime, the real monster just made it's appearance off the coast of Africa

On the hopeful side, windy.com is now showing offshores again on Monday. Strong ones though. But if it keeps moving out to sea...

Looks like the Home Depots, Lowe's, Publix's really need the business

And just like that looks like we're getting a 'cane! Pray for that offshore recurve!

Bad timing ..........for the Bob & Doug Dragon re-entry........ Sunday afternoon?

The 46 Buoy lit up earlier , now the South Bermuda . Shouldn't be long before the NE Bahamas starts to show then wait about 10 -12 hours for our beaches to see it . Update : the 47 just got a ping of 5 feet at 15sec , the worms are on the move

Edited: 07/30/2020 at 06:04 PM by Kimo63

Well, at the moment, there's a possibility we can get hit with a Cat1 within a few days..

check out Levi's latest vid- especially at 6:00 and 8:45






Also, check out Windy.com Sunday at 6pm- just a cool looking effect..

http://www.windy.com/?2020-08-...57,-80.354,8,m:erJadUZ

Edited: 07/30/2020 at 06:33 PM by paddleout

Friday 5am update forecast

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 31/0900Z 20.9N 73.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
12H 31/1800Z 22.3N 75.0W 80 KT 90 MPH
24H 01/0600Z 24.0N 77.0W 85 KT 100 MPH
36H 01/1800Z 25.7N 78.5W 80 KT 90 MPH
48H 02/0600Z 27.3N 79.4W 75 KT 85 MPH
60H 02/1800Z 28.8N 79.6W 75 KT 85 MPH
72H 03/0600Z 30.6N 79.3W 70 KT 80 MPH
96H 04/0600Z 36.5N 75.5W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 05/0600Z 42.5N 69.0W 55 KT 65 MPH