Looks like it'll shut down shortly after forming. Much too far east to be of any use,

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

It looks like it has an eye on satellite imaging at 3:30 est. But it wouldn't matter if it was a cat 3 hurricane right now. It's moving away and the fetch isn't aimed at us. Maybe if there was a pressure gradient in the western Atlantic but I'm not seeing anything to be optimistic about this one (except that it's June and nothing else is happening).

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Heavy is sign of reliability

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Special outlook issued to update AL90 formation chances

Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL90):

Satellite images indicate that shower and thunderstorm activity
has become better organized in association with a small gale-force
low-pressure system located about 900 miles east-northeast of
Bermuda. This system will likely become a short-lived tropical
storm later today before more hostile environmental conditions end
its opportunity for development by this evening. The low is
forecast to move northeastward at around 15 to 20 mph while
remaining over the open central Atlantic. For additional
information, including gale warnings, please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

Way too far away.

But, it's a start!

Viva la 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season!

La juana is a kook.
Noaa, nws, nhc have all been gutted.
Hurricanes have changed in a very scary way folks.
Storm season isn't as fun as it used to be.
Good luck fellow, actual surfer friends

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It's a democratic hoax

Nuke, can't leave it in nsr.

Edited: 06/24/2025 at 05:51 PM by chopola

It looks like the odd, months long up welling has ended. That's a bummer. I was hoping it would last all summer.



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I was right.

Edited: 06/25/2025 at 05:15 AM by Cole

The upwelling was great.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

A new depression in the gulf. I can do without that area becoming a breeding ground for storms.

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I was right.

For entertainment, check Surfline for Newport Beach and/or Huntington Beach around the 4th. Should be a healthy south swell and planty of people, competent and not, in thw water.

I hid indoors this week thanks to an antibiotic that came with a strong sun warning. Now that the local drought seems over, time to plant some stuff in the yard.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

The northern Gulf wet spot looks like the makings of a wet week.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

Who thinks this is a good idea?

http://www.theguardian.com/us-...ne-forecasting-climate

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I was right.

Washington Post has a competent group of weather people. According to their story, it seems the discontinuation of data was initiated by Defense, not NOAA.

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wavewatcher - >ww - >wavewatcher, again

Surf Captian predicting 3-5' surf for Hatteras Sunday through Tuesday

Defense - Hegseth and Doge

At least we still have FEMA for a safety net when when the storms come. And they will come.

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I was right.

Edited: 07/04/2025 at 08:52 AM by Cole

I do.

DMSP is being replaced by the much more capable WSF-M and EWS programs, and this has been the plan for a long time. Legacy systems have to be shut down so that follow-on systems can be transitioned online. That's how it works, unless you want to pay for brand new ground infrastructure for every satellite system. It's not a DOGE thing.

Outside of the DOD (where it is considered nearly obsolete), DMSP data is only used by a few folks in corners of the research community primarily due to the length of the dataset. It is not important to operational forecasts, despite the quotes from the few impacted researchers, an anonymous source, and a disgruntled former govt employee. The quote from NOAA comms, on the other hand, sums up the situation pretty well.

This piece is alarmist and selective in how it presents the information, not uncommon for The Guardian.



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"If I say it's safe to surf this beach, captain, then it's safe to surf this beach!"

The satellites aren't being decommissioned. The data is being cut off.

Has the EWS even been launched yet?

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I was right.

Edited: 07/06/2025 at 06:33 AM by Cole

BW sucked. there were a coupla bipolar county spots that worked.

Cocoa Beach and the Base sucked. As the saying goes, you should have been here yesterday.

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I was right.

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Chantal Intermediate Advisory Number 3A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032025
800 AM EDT Sat Jul 05 2025

...DEPRESSION STRENGTHENS TO TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.9N 79.0W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SSE OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 005 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES

Not seeing anything coming in. Anywhere.

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"One of the reasons why propaganda tries to get you to hate government is because it's the one existing institution in which people can participate to some extent and constrain tyrannical unaccountable power." Noam Chomsky.