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Topic Title: Dorian named. Tracking interesting. Topic Summary: May get sheared by the island mountains. Created On: 08/25/2019 11:41 AM |
Linear : Threading : Single : Branch |
- Central Floridave | - 08/25/2019 11:41 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/25/2019 04:28 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/27/2019 03:35 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/27/2019 05:31 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/27/2019 07:04 AM |
- scombrid | - 08/27/2019 07:14 AM |
- Plan B | - 08/27/2019 07:23 AM |
- pompano | - 08/27/2019 06:29 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 03:53 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 03:56 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 04:24 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/28/2019 04:33 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 04:46 AM |
- Plan B | - 08/28/2019 04:58 AM |
- Plan B | - 08/28/2019 05:00 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/28/2019 05:06 AM |
- Plan B | - 08/28/2019 06:05 AM |
- Plan B | - 08/28/2019 07:11 AM |
- paddleout | - 08/28/2019 08:16 AM |
- Plan B | - 08/28/2019 08:20 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 08:21 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 08:24 AM |
- harrietdubman | - 08/28/2019 08:59 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 09:17 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 09:18 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/28/2019 09:19 AM |
- palmtreeg | - 08/28/2019 09:38 AM |
- KP | - 08/28/2019 10:18 AM |
- seaspray | - 08/28/2019 10:24 AM |
- paddleout | - 08/28/2019 10:51 AM |
- 3rdworldlover | - 08/28/2019 11:40 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/28/2019 11:57 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/28/2019 12:29 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/28/2019 12:53 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/28/2019 01:13 PM |
- dingpatch | - 08/28/2019 01:20 PM |
- Plan B | - 08/28/2019 01:34 PM |
- dingpatch | - 08/28/2019 01:38 PM |
- Plan B | - 08/28/2019 02:03 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/29/2019 03:45 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/29/2019 05:08 AM |
- Plan B | - 08/29/2019 05:24 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/29/2019 05:30 AM |
- Greensleeves | - 08/29/2019 05:33 AM |
- seaspray | - 08/29/2019 05:53 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/29/2019 06:26 AM |
- johnnyboy | - 08/29/2019 06:28 AM |
- worksuxgetsponsered | - 08/29/2019 12:00 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/31/2019 05:49 AM |
- rc | - 08/31/2019 06:07 AM |
- bluestreak | - 08/31/2019 06:15 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/29/2019 06:48 AM |
- StirfryMcflurry | - 09/10/2019 10:16 AM |
- paddleout | - 08/29/2019 07:01 AM |
- paddleout | - 08/29/2019 09:05 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/29/2019 09:32 AM |
- johnnyboy | - 08/29/2019 09:55 AM |
- Cole | - 08/29/2019 10:31 AM |
- scostuart | - 08/29/2019 10:52 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/29/2019 11:10 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/29/2019 11:50 AM |
- paddleout | - 08/29/2019 11:55 AM |
- SRPHOTO | - 08/29/2019 12:01 PM |
- worksuxgetsponsered | - 08/29/2019 12:04 PM |
- saltydog73 | - 08/29/2019 12:31 PM |
- SRPHOTO | - 08/29/2019 12:41 PM |
- Plan B | - 08/29/2019 12:42 PM |
- dingpatch | - 08/29/2019 02:32 PM |
- GREG | - 08/29/2019 07:16 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/29/2019 08:31 PM |
- SurferMic | - 08/30/2019 05:24 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 06:16 AM |
- daner | - 08/30/2019 07:11 AM |
- garcia | - 08/30/2019 07:19 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 07:20 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 08:52 AM |
- paddleout | - 08/30/2019 09:22 AM |
- Greensleeves | - 08/30/2019 09:42 AM |
- Cole | - 08/30/2019 10:28 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 10:44 AM |
- Karma | - 08/30/2019 10:36 AM |
- harrietdubman | - 08/30/2019 10:45 AM |
- Seth | - 08/30/2019 10:51 AM |
- RiddleMe | - 08/30/2019 11:07 AM |
- Karma | - 08/30/2019 11:08 AM |
- harrietdubman | - 08/30/2019 11:21 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 12:27 PM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 02:00 PM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 02:06 PM |
- StirfryMcflurry | - 08/30/2019 02:07 PM |
- garcia | - 08/30/2019 02:09 PM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 02:18 PM |
- dingpatch | - 08/30/2019 02:24 PM |
- Cole | - 08/30/2019 02:37 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/30/2019 02:07 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/30/2019 04:43 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/30/2019 04:47 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/30/2019 08:26 PM |
- TONYlookaround | - 08/30/2019 09:24 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/31/2019 05:27 AM |
- garcia | - 08/31/2019 05:36 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/31/2019 05:34 AM |
- Greensleeves | - 08/31/2019 06:31 AM |
- chopola | - 08/31/2019 06:45 AM |
- paddleout | - 08/31/2019 07:08 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/31/2019 07:38 AM |
- 3rdworldlover | - 08/31/2019 08:01 AM |
- paddleout | - 08/31/2019 08:08 AM |
- palmtreeg | - 08/31/2019 09:15 AM |
- dingpatch | - 08/31/2019 09:23 AM |
- chopola | - 08/31/2019 11:06 AM |
- K07 | - 08/31/2019 11:15 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 08/31/2019 11:47 AM |
- harrietdubman | - 08/31/2019 01:06 PM |
- seaspray | - 08/31/2019 01:46 PM |
- dingpatch | - 08/31/2019 05:07 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/31/2019 06:25 PM |
- pumphouse | - 08/31/2019 06:30 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/31/2019 07:58 PM |
- RiddleMe | - 08/31/2019 09:08 PM |
- paddleout | - 08/31/2019 09:23 PM |
- 3rdworldlover | - 08/31/2019 09:36 PM |
- RiddleMe | - 09/01/2019 03:37 AM |
- dingpatch | - 09/01/2019 04:30 AM |
- MSP | - 09/01/2019 04:36 AM |
- pumphouse | - 09/01/2019 04:48 AM |
- tom | - 09/01/2019 04:59 AM |
- RiddleMe | - 09/01/2019 05:02 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 05:07 AM |
- RiddleMe | - 09/01/2019 06:45 AM |
- paddleout | - 09/01/2019 07:10 AM |
- Plan B | - 09/01/2019 07:55 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 07:59 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 08:00 AM |
- Plan B | - 09/01/2019 08:01 AM |
- paddleout | - 09/01/2019 08:09 AM |
- chopola | - 09/01/2019 08:22 AM |
- dingpatch | - 09/01/2019 08:37 AM |
- paddleout | - 09/01/2019 09:05 AM |
- dingpatch | - 09/01/2019 09:09 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 09:20 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 09:36 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 09:39 AM |
- tom | - 09/01/2019 09:56 AM |
- RiddleMe | - 09/01/2019 09:59 AM |
- SunriseSurfer | - 09/01/2019 11:43 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 12:12 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 12:12 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 12:29 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/01/2019 12:44 PM |
- dingpatch | - 09/01/2019 02:51 PM |
- pumphouse | - 09/01/2019 06:52 PM |
- Plan B | - 09/01/2019 08:20 PM |
- K07 | - 09/01/2019 09:25 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/02/2019 03:51 AM |
- dingpatch | - 09/02/2019 05:28 AM |
- dingpatch | - 09/02/2019 07:10 AM |
- Cole | - 09/02/2019 12:59 PM |
- Greensleeves | - 09/02/2019 02:06 PM |
- surfmcc32 | - 09/02/2019 02:29 PM |
- Cole | - 09/02/2019 02:36 PM |
- paddleout | - 09/02/2019 08:11 AM |
- pumphouse | - 09/02/2019 12:18 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/02/2019 03:30 PM |
- RocketSurf | - 09/02/2019 04:06 PM |
- HAPDigital | - 09/03/2019 06:01 AM |
- Plan B | - 09/03/2019 06:05 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/03/2019 05:36 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/03/2019 12:21 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/03/2019 12:24 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/03/2019 12:27 PM |
- daner | - 09/03/2019 03:47 PM |
- paddleout | - 09/03/2019 03:53 PM |
- Long Beard | - 09/03/2019 04:12 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/03/2019 04:39 PM |
- seaspray | - 09/03/2019 04:49 PM |
- rc | - 09/03/2019 05:14 PM |
- ww | - 09/03/2019 06:01 PM |
- pumphouse | - 09/03/2019 04:52 PM |
- SpinK | - 09/03/2019 06:03 PM |
- RiddleMe | - 09/03/2019 06:09 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/05/2019 05:47 AM |
- dingpatch | - 09/05/2019 06:38 AM |
- scostuart | - 09/10/2019 11:41 AM |
- camguy | - 09/10/2019 01:08 PM |
- dingpatch | - 09/10/2019 03:01 PM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/05/2019 07:38 AM |
- Central Floridave | - 09/05/2019 07:43 AM |
- paddleout | - 09/10/2019 06:44 PM |
Topic Tools
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09/01/2019 12:12 PM
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WTNT45 KNHC 011457
TCDAT5 Hurricane Dorian Discussion Number 33 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 1100 AM EDT Sun Sep 01 2019 Air Force and NOAA reconnaissance planes penetrated the distinct eye of Dorian, and found that the hurricane has become extremely intense with a stadium effect in the eye. The NOAA plane reported a peak flight-level wind of 159 kt, while the SFMR from both planes have measured winds between 155 and 170 kt. A dropsonde from the NOAA plane measured a wind gust of 176 kt at the surface. A blend of these measurements yield to an initial intensity of 155 kt, making Dorian the strongest hurricane on record in the northwestern Bahamas. For the next few days, Dorian should experience some fluctuations in intensity, and in addition to eyewall replacement cyclone, the interaction with the northwestern Bahamas should weaken the hurricane slightly. After 3 days, as Dorian moves northward along or offshore of southeast United States coast, the shear is forecast to increase, resulting in a more distinct gradual weakening. Reconnaissance plane and satellite fixes indicate that Dorian, as anticipated, has slowed down and is moving toward the west or 270 degrees at 6 kt. The steering currents are collapsing and Dorian is expected to slow down even more, prolonging its catastrophic effects in the northwestern Bahamas. The NHC forecast calls for a slow west to west-northwest motion during the next 48 hours, with a turn to the north and an increase in forward speed as the mid-level trough along the eastern United States deepens and becomes the dominant steering feature. The current forecast is only a few miles west of the previous one and is basically on top of the multi-model consensus. Both the deterministic and consensus tracks have shown the usual variability to the right or to the left from run to run, but the overall trend is for the hurricane to turn northward offshore but very close to the Florida peninsula. Given the uncertainty in the track forecast and the anticipated increase in size of the hurricane, a Hurricane Watch and Storm Surge Watch have been issued for a portion of the east Florida coast. It is emphasized that although the official track forecast does not show landfall, users should not focus on the exact track. A small deviation to the left of the track could bring the intense core of the hurricane its dangerous winds closer to or onto the coast. |
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Dorian named. Tracking interesting.
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